The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month.

We are going to show you the NOAA forecast for the upcoming 2024-2025 winter season, but first, a warning.

Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. These forecasts cover three months but we know that skiing quality improves and degrades with storm cycles that last a few days to a week.

Paying attention to the 1-10 day forecast with OpenSnow All-Access is the way that you'll find the best snow and give you the most accurate information for your weekend trip or destination ski vacation.

NOAA 2024-2025 Winter Temperature Forecast

Warm for the majority of the southern half of the United States, including Colorado, New Mexico, the Mid-Atlantic, and well up into New England.

This outlook is based on a general trend of increasing temperatures during the past years and decades.

NOAA 2024-2025 Winter Precipitation Forecast

Washington, Oregon, northern Idaho, Montana, the Upper Midwest, and much of New England are in the "Probability of Above" zone, which means that the odds of above-average precipitation are higher.

This outlook matches the general storm track of previous La Niña winters.

NOAA 2024-2025 La Niña Forecast

A strong El Niño or La Niña (which refers to ocean water temperatures in the central Pacific Ocean) can help us predict snowfall patterns during the winter.

For the upcoming 2024-2025 winter season, a weak La Niña looks to be in store.

For the graphic above, there's a 65+% chance that water temperatures will be below average (blue bar = La Niña) and a 30% chance that water temperatures will be near average (grey bar = Neutral).

These model forecasts provide us with a good signal for a weak La Nina through the 2024-2025 winter season. The official Climate Prediction Center outlook is also similar to these model forecasts.

The CPC is giving a 74% chance of La Niña persisting during the 2024-2025 winter season.

Technology will continue to advance and someday we might be able to accurately and consistently forecast weather patterns 3-6 months in advance. Until then, upgrade to OpenSnow All-Access for 10-day snow forecasts to help you find the deepest snow and the best ski conditions.

Every OpenSnow All-Access subscription is also good for 365 days.

Winter & Spring Features

• 10-Day Snow Forecasts
• Expert Snow Forecasters
• Custom Snow Alerts
• Recent Snowfall Maps
• Snow Forecast & Report Widgets

Summer & Fall Features

• 10-Day Weather Forecasts
• Current & Forecast Radar
• Active Fire & Smoke Maps
• Lightning Risk Forecasts
• Offline Satellite & Terrain Maps

That means you can use OpenSnow to escape to the desert this fall, find every powder day this winter, track the freeze/thaw cycle for corn snow and peak-bagging next spring, and avoid lightning and wildfire smoke next summer.

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Sam Collentine